"Macron-Le Pen: the return match is far from being written!"
FIGAROVOX/TRIBUNE - According to a recent poll, in the event of a Macron-Le Pen second round, the outgoing president would win with 52% of the vote against 48% for the president of the RN.But for the director of the Revue Civique Jean -Philippe Moinet, the hypothesis of another duel is just as credible, the respective qualification of the two candidates for the second round being far from certain.
Jean-Philippe Moinet is the founder and director of the Revue Civique.
This is one of those subjects that the "microcosm" loves, to use Raymond Barre's words.An institute, Harris Interactive, measures voting intentions at all times, including totally out of context.poll photograph places, in the event of Macron-Le Pen's second round, the President of the RN at 48%.That is, given the margins of error (around 2%), on the verge of a victory and a entry to the Elysee!
Of course, this is in no way to underestimate the solidity of the base which Marine Le Pen enjoys today in public opinion, nor its ability to aggregate a large “protest bloc”, in the country of 66 million prosecutors.To join one of the analyzes of the political scientist Pascal Perrineau, it is clear that the President of the RN has been able to capitalize on a "tribunician function", which historically corresponds to a popular expectation, and to capture in addition to her traditional an initially electorate located on the left: hence the current success of an electoral combination in which the extreme right, national-sovereignty and “gaucho-lepénisme” are found.In certain territories, such as Hauts-de-France, the erasure of the left is moreover close to collapse, France which suffers socially sometimes preferring the current Le Pen to the Mélenchon movement.
Posted Date: 2021-02-13